đ„ Mondayâs Crash Wave on EURJPY: Anatomy of a Flush On Sunday, May 3rd, 2026, I launched a new AOS instance on the M15 EURJPY chart. Before letting it run, I checked the prediction for the upcoming session. The result was clear: STRONG SHORT sentiment. That meant only one thing â my LONGâonly instance was…
Category: DefConFX analysis
What RSI Is â and What It Definitely Isnât
RSI is one of the most widely used indicators in the world â and also one of the most misunderstood. Most traders use it in ways that have nothing to do with how markets actually behave. In this article, Iâll show how my own optimization experiments led me to a completely different understanding of RSI than what is commonly taught, and explain what RSI truly measures â and what it absolutely does not.
Why You Shouldnât Short USDJPY Right Now
USDJPY has become one of the most talkedâabout currency pairs in recent months. Many traders feel the market is âtoo highâ and a correction is overdue â but the reality tells a different story. Fundamentals, sentiment, and technical structure all point in the same direction, and shorting USDJPY right now is more of a trap than an opportunity. This article breaks down why stepping in front of this trend is a dangerous game and whatâs really happening behind the chart.
Weekly Sentiment Analysis â February 16â20, 2026
Following a volatile start to the month driven by U.S. economic data, this week shifts focus toward European and British economies. Markets are seeking equilibrium after significant dollar moves, with the primary catalysts being inflation reports (CPI) from the UK and Canada, along with final GDP revisions in the Eurozone. While the U.S. macro calendar…
Weekly Sentiment Analysis â February 9â13, 2026
This week belongs to the US dollar. The macro calendar is packed from Tuesday through Friday, and USD will be reacting almost every day. GBP has its major moment on Thursday, while EUR closes the week with employment data and two ECB speeches. JPY remains a passive player. Below youâll find the full sentiment and technical outlook for the major currency pairs.
Weekly Sentiment Analysis for January 26â30, 2026
Markets head into the final week of January facing one of the densest macro calendars of the month. The eurozone delivers a full slate of GDP releases and regional CPI prints, the United States navigates a highâimpact cluster including Durable Goods, ADP, the Fed decision, and Jobless Claims, while Australia and Canada take the spotlight with inflation data and the BoC rate announcement. With multiple regions releasing topâtier indicators within tight windows, volatility is expected to rise across major FX pairs. This weekâs sentiment analysis breaks down the key drivers and technical structures shaping EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, USDCHF, AUDUSD, GBPJPY, and CADJPY.
Weekly Sentiment Analysis for January 19â23, 2026
Markets enter the week of January 19â23, 2026 with a familiar mix of themes: a structurally weaker U.S. dollar, persistent focus on inflation dynamics in Europe and the UK, and growing attention on central bank signaling from the Bank of Japan and the Bank of Canada.
This weekâs calendar is dense but wellâstructured:
EUR: December CPI
GBP: Employment data and December inflation
CAD: CPI and Retail Sales
JPY: Inflation and the BoJ rate decision
USD: GDP, Jobless Claims, PCE, and Michigan Sentiment
As a result, major pairs are likely to trade in a regime where USD weakness remains the core narrative, but local stories in GBP, CAD, and JPY can temporarily dominate price action. Below is our updated weekly sentiment outlook for the same set of pairs as last week, including revised swing and intraday levels.
Weekly Sentiment Analysis for January 12â16, 2026
This weekly sentiment outlook provides a comprehensive overview of key fundamental events and technical levels for major currency pairs during the week of January 12â16, 2026. Markets enter the second week of January with elevated volatility, heightened anticipation around US inflation data, and continued broad-based USD weakness. The analysis includes updated sentiment, swing and intraday levels, and a summary of the main risks that may influence forex market dynamics in the days ahead.
Weekly Sentiment Analysis for January 5â9, 2026
The first full trading week of 2026 brings a mix of European inflation data, Australian CPI, and a heavy U.S. macro lineup led by Jobless Claims and NFP. With the dollar softening and risk sentiment improving, major currency pairs are entering the week with clear directional biases. Hereâs our forwardâlooking sentiment and technical outlook for January 5â9.
Weekly Forex Sentiment Analysis (December 15â19, 2025)
December looks calm, but the charts have their own paranoia. The Fed prepares its final dance of the year, the pound tries to play the hero, the franc spoils the party, and the yen trembles at every cough. Technical barriers stand like fences guarded by monsters, sentiment pretends to be prophecy but is really just a survival note. Welcome to the week where the stopâloss is the only real gift the market will give you.









